S&P 500 Index
Low · quintile 1
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | -0.09% | -0.14% | 50% | 4 |
| +5D | +0.69% | +0.9% | 50% | 4 |
| +1M | -0.77% | +0.9% | 67% | 3 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Release IntelligenceWorkspace current
week-ended-2026-10-24 · U.S. Department of Labor
Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims
One workspace for briefing, official publication status, market reaction, and comparable historical outcomes.
- Scheduled
- Oct 29 · 12:30:00 PM UTC
- Published
- Oct 29 · 12:30:00 PM UTC
- 0 ms late from schedule
- Available
- Oct 29 · 12:30:01 PM UTC
- 1.2 sec after publication
- Market clock
- Publication time
- New York sessions
Before release
Release Briefing
Weekly claims are the fastest recurring signal of labor-market deterioration or resilience.
Analysis componentOpen five-year indicator analysis
- Event value
- 194,000 claims
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Current / event regime
- Low
- z -1.29
- Historical percentile
- 15th percentile
- Quintile 1 · five years
- Revision reliability
- High
- 88/100 · 12 releases
At release
Release Monitor
| Indicator | Actual | Prior initial | Prior revised | Release move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initial Jobless ClaimsLevel · Official | 194,000 claims | 194,000 claims | 195,000 claims | -1,000 claims |
| Continuing ClaimsLevel · Official | 1,701,000 claims | 1,728,000 claims | 1,722,000 claims | -21,000 claims |
“Release move” is initial minus the revised prior when available, otherwise initial minus the prior print. It is not a consensus surprise.
After release
Market Reaction
S&P 500 and Nasdaq cumulative returns from the last regular close before publication to the +1D, +5D, and +1M trading sessions.
| Benchmark | +1D | +5D | +1M |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Index | -0.3% | -0.71% | Pending |
| Nasdaq Composite | -1.38% | -3.06% | Pending |
Regime + percentile matched
Historical Analogues
Stored event history · 12 evaluated
4 matching releases
Nasdaq Composite
Low · quintile 1
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | -0.53% | -0.61% | 50% | 4 |
| +5D | +0.64% | +0.97% | 50% | 4 |
| +1M | -3.8% | -2.52% | 33% | 3 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Stored release examples
week-ended-2026-08-22
Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims
Initial Jobless Claims: 204,000 claimsContinuing Claims: 1,771,000 claims
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.72% · D5 +0.94%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +1.57% · D5 +1.74%
week-ended-2026-09-26
Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims
Initial Jobless Claims: 197,000 claimsContinuing Claims: 1,701,000 claims
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.19% · D5 +1.49%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.04% · D5 +1.24%
week-ended-2026-09-05
Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims
Initial Jobless Claims: 207,000 claimsContinuing Claims: 1,765,000 claims
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 -0.58% · D5 +0.02%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 -0.65% · D5 +0.63%
week-ended-2026-09-19
Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims
Initial Jobless Claims: 198,000 claimsContinuing Claims: 1,712,000 claims
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 -0.02% · D5 -0.51%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.01% · D5 -0.24%
week-ended-2026-10-10
Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims
Continuing Claims: 1,710,000 claimsInitial Jobless Claims: 199,000 claims
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.33% · D5 -0.72%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.08% · D5 -2.56%
Aggregate outcomes use only earlier releases of the selected component with the same as-of-release regime and five-year percentile quintile. The target event is excluded and pending trading horizons remain unavailable until enough closes exist.