About Capitals Hill

Daily macro intelligence for a connected economic view.

Macro intelligence,
connected.

Capitals Hill turns official U.S. economic releases into a daily view of activity, momentum, recession risk, and forward risk—then checks that reading against markets and the yield curve.

The goal is simple: make the economic state easier to read without hiding the dates, methods, or source context behind it.

How the view is built

One framework.
Four layers of context.

  1. 01

    Official releases

    High-quality, time-stamped economic data from authoritative public sources.

  2. 02

    Macro context

    Each release is organized by broad themes and its place in the business cycle.

  3. 03

    Market confirmation

    Liquidity, market, and yield-curve signals test whether the macro story is holding.

  4. 04

    Transparent methods

    Source notes, as-of dates, and methodology stay attached to every conclusion.

Data & Citation

Data sources and attribution

Macro data include series retrieved through FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Capitals Hill uses FRED.

For original sources, suggested citations, and series-specific usage restrictions, see the linked FRED series pages. When reusing data, credit the original source and FRED and follow the applicable terms and permissions.

FRED citation guidanceFRED Terms of Use