S&P 500 Index
Normal · quintile 4
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | +0.42% | +0.51% | 100% | 3 |
| +5D | +0.04% | -0.27% | 33% | 3 |
| +1M | -1.92% | -1.04% | 33% | 3 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Release IntelligenceWorkspace current
week-ended-2026-11-04 · Federal Reserve
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
One workspace for briefing, official publication status, market reaction, and comparable historical outcomes.
- Scheduled
- Nov 5 · 9:30:00 PM UTC
- Published
- Not reported
- Available
- Nov 5 · 9:30:43 PM UTC
- 43.2 sec after schedule (fallback basis)
- Market clock
- Scheduled time
- New York sessions
Before release
Release Briefing
The Federal Reserve balance sheet and reserve components map shifts in banking-system liquidity.
Analysis componentOpen five-year indicator analysis
- Event value
- 6,748,145 millions of dollars
- Fed Balance Sheet
- Current / event regime
- Normal
- z 0.23
- Historical percentile
- 71th percentile
- Quintile 4 · five years
- Revision reliability
- High
- 100/100 · 13 releases
At release
Release Monitor
| Indicator | Actual | Prior initial | Prior revised | Release move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Balance SheetLevel · Official | 6,748,145 millions of dollars | 6,745,635 millions of dollars | — | +2,510 millions of dollars |
| Fed Balance SheetChange · Official | 2,510 millions of dollars | -7,969 millions of dollars | — | +10,479 millions of dollars |
| Reserve BalancesLevel · Official | 2,930,088 millions of dollars | 2,893,770 millions of dollars | — | +36,318 millions of dollars |
| Reserve BalancesChange · Official | 36,318 millions of dollars | -68,837 millions of dollars | — | +105,155 millions of dollars |
| Treasury General AccountLevel · Official | 957,175 millions of dollars | 999,727 millions of dollars | — | -42,552 millions of dollars |
| Treasury General AccountChange · Official | -42,552 millions of dollars | 47,725 millions of dollars | — | -90,277 millions of dollars |
“Release move” is initial minus the revised prior when available, otherwise initial minus the prior print. It is not a consensus surprise.
After release
Market Reaction
S&P 500 and Nasdaq cumulative returns from the last regular close before publication to the +1D, +5D, and +1M trading sessions.
| Benchmark | +1D | +5D | +1M |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Index | +0.31% | Pending | Pending |
| Nasdaq Composite | +1.09% | Pending | Pending |
Regime + percentile matched
Historical Analogues
Stored event history · 13 evaluated
3 matching releases
Nasdaq Composite
Normal · quintile 4
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | +0.5% | +0.48% | 100% | 3 |
| +5D | -0.02% | -0.25% | 33% | 3 |
| +1M | -4.77% | -3.65% | 0% | 3 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Stored release examples
week-ended-2026-10-07
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,747,560 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 4,529 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 3,029,659 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.59% · D5 -1.36%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.64% · D5 -3.87%
week-ended-2026-08-05
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,748,567 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 10,377 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,993,349 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.62% · D5 +0.98%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +1.3% · D5 +1.45%
week-ended-2026-09-30
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,743,031 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: -4,673 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,948,090 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.73% · D5 +1.89%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +1.19% · D5 +1.84%
week-ended-2026-09-09
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,740,619 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 3,415 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,991,310 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.86% · D5 +0.77%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.96% · D5 +1.69%
week-ended-2026-09-02
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,737,204 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 6,292 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,894,531 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 -0.38% · D5 -1.65%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 -0.29% · D5 -1.5%
Aggregate outcomes use only earlier releases of the selected component with the same as-of-release regime and five-year percentile quintile. The target event is excluded and pending trading horizons remain unavailable until enough closes exist.