S&P 500 Index
Normal · quintile 2
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | +0.03% | +0.03% | 50% | 2 |
| +5D | +0.0% | +0.0% | 50% | 2 |
| +1M | +0.98% | +0.98% | 100% | 2 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Release IntelligenceWorkspace current
week-ended-2026-10-28 · Federal Reserve
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
One workspace for briefing, official publication status, market reaction, and comparable historical outcomes.
- Scheduled
- Oct 29 · 8:30:00 PM UTC
- Published
- Not reported
- Available
- Oct 29 · 8:30:21 PM UTC
- 21.6 sec after schedule (fallback basis)
- Market clock
- Scheduled time
- New York sessions
Before release
Release Briefing
The Federal Reserve balance sheet and reserve components map shifts in banking-system liquidity.
Analysis componentOpen five-year indicator analysis
- Event value
- 6,745,635 millions of dollars
- Fed Balance Sheet
- Current / event regime
- Normal
- z -0.10
- Historical percentile
- 38th percentile
- Quintile 2 · five years
- Revision reliability
- High
- 100/100 · 12 releases
At release
Release Monitor
| Indicator | Actual | Prior initial | Prior revised | Release move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Balance SheetLevel · Official | 6,745,635 millions of dollars | 6,753,604 millions of dollars | — | -7,969 millions of dollars |
| Fed Balance SheetChange · Official | -7,969 millions of dollars | -2,035 millions of dollars | — | -5,934 millions of dollars |
| Reserve BalancesLevel · Official | 2,893,770 millions of dollars | 2,962,607 millions of dollars | — | -68,837 millions of dollars |
| Reserve BalancesChange · Official | -68,837 millions of dollars | -59,533 millions of dollars | — | -9,304 millions of dollars |
| Treasury General AccountLevel · Official | 999,727 millions of dollars | 952,002 millions of dollars | — | +47,725 millions of dollars |
| Treasury General AccountChange · Official | 47,725 millions of dollars | 68,629 millions of dollars | — | -20,904 millions of dollars |
“Release move” is initial minus the revised prior when available, otherwise initial minus the prior print. It is not a consensus surprise.
After release
Market Reaction
S&P 500 and Nasdaq cumulative returns from the last regular close before publication to the +1D, +5D, and +1M trading sessions.
| Benchmark | +1D | +5D | +1M |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Index | -1.82% | -4.75% | Pending |
| Nasdaq Composite | -2.86% | -7.14% | Pending |
Regime + percentile matched
Historical Analogues
Low-sample analogue history · 12 evaluated
2 matching releases
Nasdaq Composite
Normal · quintile 2
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | +0.07% | +0.07% | 50% | 2 |
| +5D | +0.44% | +0.44% | 50% | 2 |
| +1M | +3.7% | +3.7% | 100% | 2 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Stored release examples
week-ended-2026-10-21
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,753,604 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: -2,035 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,962,607 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 -0.52% · D5 -1.09%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 -0.21% · D5 -2.2%
week-ended-2026-08-26
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,730,912 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: -14,787 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,924,936 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 -0.25% · D5 -0.16%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 -0.52% · D5 -0.13%
week-ended-2026-09-23
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,747,704 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 1,156 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,930,193 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.51% · D5 +0.24%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.48% · D5 +0.93%
week-ended-2026-08-19
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,745,699 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: -14,256 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,935,287 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.43% · D5 +0.92%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.43% · D5 +1.29%
week-ended-2026-08-12
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,759,955 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 11,388 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,944,059 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 -0.17% · D5 -1.6%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 -0.28% · D5 -2.32%
Aggregate outcomes use only earlier releases of the selected component with the same as-of-release regime and five-year percentile quintile. The target event is excluded and pending trading horizons remain unavailable until enough closes exist.