week-ended-2026-10-21 · Federal Reserve
One workspace for briefing, official publication status, market reaction, and comparable historical outcomes.
Before release
The Federal Reserve balance sheet and reserve components map shifts in banking-system liquidity.
At release
| Indicator | Actual | Prior initial | Prior revised | Release move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Balance SheetLevel · Official | 6,753,604 millions of dollars | 6,755,639 millions of dollars | — | -2,035 millions of dollars |
| Fed Balance SheetChange · Official | -2,035 millions of dollars | 8,079 millions of dollars | — | -10,114 millions of dollars |
| Reserve BalancesLevel · Official | 2,962,607 millions of dollars | 3,022,140 millions of dollars | — | -59,533 millions of dollars |
| Reserve BalancesChange · Official | -59,533 millions of dollars | -7,519 millions of dollars | — | -52,014 millions of dollars |
| Treasury General AccountLevel · Official | 952,002 millions of dollars | 883,373 millions of dollars | — | +68,629 millions of dollars |
| Treasury General AccountChange · Official | 68,629 millions of dollars | 3,120 millions of dollars | — | +65,509 millions of dollars |
“Release move” is initial minus the revised prior when available, otherwise initial minus the prior print. It is not a consensus surprise.
After release
S&P 500 and Nasdaq cumulative returns from the last regular close before publication to the +1D, +5D, and +1M trading sessions.
| Benchmark | +1D | +5D | +1M |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Index | -0.52% | +0.74% | Pending |
| Nasdaq Composite | -0.21% | +0.68% | Pending |
Regime + percentile matched
Normal · quintile 5
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +5D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +1M | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
No earlier releases match both this regime and percentile quintile in the retained history.
Normal · quintile 5
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +5D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +1M | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
No earlier releases match both this regime and percentile quintile in the retained history.
week-ended-2026-09-23
week-ended-2026-08-12
week-ended-2026-10-14
week-ended-2026-08-26
week-ended-2026-09-16
Aggregate outcomes use only earlier releases of the selected component with the same as-of-release regime and five-year percentile quintile. The target event is excluded and pending trading horizons remain unavailable until enough closes exist.