S&P 500 Index
High · quintile 5
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | +0.86% | +0.86% | 100% | 1 |
| +5D | +0.61% | +0.61% | 100% | 1 |
| +1M | +2.9% | +2.9% | 100% | 1 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Release IntelligenceWorkspace current
2026-09 · Bureau of Labor Statistics
Consumer Price Index
One workspace for briefing, official publication status, market reaction, and comparable historical outcomes.
- Scheduled
- Oct 14 · 12:30:00 PM UTC
- Published
- Not reported
- Available
- Oct 14 · 12:32:06 PM UTC
- 2.1 min after schedule (fallback basis)
- Market clock
- Scheduled time
- New York sessions
Before release
Release Briefing
Consumer inflation is a central input to real-income trends and the expected path of interest rates.
Analysis componentOpen five-year indicator analysis
- Event value
- 0.649%
- Headline CPI
- Current / event regime
- High
- z 1.17
- Historical percentile
- 100th percentile
- Quintile 5 · five years
- Revision reliability
- High
- 100/100 · 2 releases
At release
Release Monitor
| Indicator | Actual | Prior initial | Prior revised | Release move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Headline CPIMom Pct · Official | 0.649% | 0.396% | — | +0.253 pp |
| Headline CPIYoy Pct · Official | 3.717% | 3.353% | — | +0.364 pp |
| Core CPIMom Pct · Official | 0.335% | 0.29% | — | +0.045 pp |
| Core CPIYoy Pct · Official | 2.566% | 2.446% | — | +0.12 pp |
“Release move” is initial minus the revised prior when available, otherwise initial minus the prior print. It is not a consensus surprise.
After release
Market Reaction
S&P 500 and Nasdaq cumulative returns from the last regular close before publication to the +1D, +5D, and +1M trading sessions.
| Benchmark | +1D | +5D | +1M |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Index | -1.11% | -1.19% | Pending |
| Nasdaq Composite | -1.88% | -2.87% | Pending |
Regime + percentile matched
Historical Analogues
Low-sample analogue history · 2 evaluated
1 matching releases
Nasdaq Composite
High · quintile 5
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | +0.96% | +0.96% | 100% | 1 |
| +5D | +1.29% | +1.29% | 100% | 1 |
| +1M | +4.92% | +4.92% | 100% | 1 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Stored release examples
2026-08
Consumer Price Index
Headline CPI: 0.396%Headline CPI: 3.353%Core CPI: 0.29%
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.86% · D5 +0.77%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.96% · D5 +1.69%
2026-07
Consumer Price Index
Headline CPI: 0.074%Headline CPI: 3.304%Core CPI: 0.215%
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.26% · D5 -0.26%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.54% · D5 -0.43%
Aggregate outcomes use only earlier releases of the selected component with the same as-of-release regime and five-year percentile quintile. The target event is excluded and pending trading horizons remain unavailable until enough closes exist.