2026-08 · Bureau of Labor Statistics
One workspace for briefing, official publication status, market reaction, and comparable historical outcomes.
Before release
Consumer inflation is a central input to real-income trends and the expected path of interest rates.
At release
| Indicator | Actual | Prior initial | Prior revised | Release move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Headline CPIMom Pct · Official | 0.396% | 0.074% | — | +0.322 pp |
| Headline CPIYoy Pct · Official | 3.353% | 3.304% | — | +0.049 pp |
| Core CPIMom Pct · Official | 0.29% | 0.215% | — | +0.074 pp |
| Core CPIYoy Pct · Official | 2.446% | 2.467% | — | -0.02 pp |
“Release move” is initial minus the revised prior when available, otherwise initial minus the prior print. It is not a consensus surprise.
After release
S&P 500 and Nasdaq cumulative returns from the last regular close before publication to the +1D, +5D, and +1M trading sessions.
| Benchmark | +1D | +5D | +1M |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Index | +0.86% | +0.61% | +2.9% |
| Nasdaq Composite | +0.96% | +1.29% | +4.92% |
Regime + percentile matched
High · quintile 5
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +5D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +1M | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
No earlier releases match both this regime and percentile quintile in the retained history.
High · quintile 5
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +5D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +1M | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
No earlier releases match both this regime and percentile quintile in the retained history.
2026-07
Aggregate outcomes use only earlier releases of the selected component with the same as-of-release regime and five-year percentile quintile. The target event is excluded and pending trading horizons remain unavailable until enough closes exist.